The Sarasota County Commission continues to take steps toward a massively expensive, unnecessary and likely doomed bus rapid-transit system.
Last week the commission agreed to a workshop on the proposal which, like all such proposals, has ballooned in cost from $82 million to $100 million. More upward cost “adjustments” are all but certain.
The rapid-transit line would run from the Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport south to Sarasota Memorial Hospital and require a dedicated, expanded lane of travel and stops. The idea is to help reduce north-south traffic congestion.
The Federal Transit Administration has funded most of a $1.5 million analysis of alternatives. The county pitched in about $300,000 of that. The mass of government bureaucracy will eat up a portion of the overall expenses. A study to meet the needs of the National Environmental Policy Act will also have to be done, along with all those of the myriad local, state and federal agencies.
Of the currently estimated $100.7 million cost, a maximum of $75 million could come from the FTA, leaving more than $25 million to come from Sarasota County and the state. The county report rosily expects the state DOT to come up with half of that.
There are at least three reasons against even continuing to spend county staff time and public dollars pursuing rapid transit:
• No one will ride it. Ridership on the rapid-transit buses will prove slim and disappointing. That is the history of mass transit everywhere outside of the most densely populated areas, such as Manhattan. Sarasota’s experience with its normal SCAT buses is that they are lightly used and heavily subsidized. And some of the rapid-transit riders will be those who would otherwise ride SCAT.
• It is too expensive. Total estimated cost of the project now is at $100.7 million. It has already gone up and, again, the experience of other locales is that the prices of these systems continue to inflate. (Look up how the cost of California’s high-speed rail project is now estimated at $98 billion, up from the original $43 billion.)
• The subsidy required annually is $1.56 million. That amount would be built into all future budgets, which will rise each year, and is on top of the existing, heavily subsidized SCAT budget. It will require more in taxes or less in other services.
County Commissioner Nora Patterson has it right: “I would have a rough time supporting BRT over libraries.” But that is the type of choice that will have to be made.
Here is how this likely will play out: The county will continue studying and holding meetings, spending thousands of dollars locally and millions in federal funds, but in the end will determine that it is unaffordable and unworkable. And the money spent on the studies will be wasted.
The only worse option would be for the county to decide to move ahead with a project that is doomed to be a financial black hole.
Currently 4 Responses
- When did this plan change? When reported in The Pelican Press, the plan and map ran the north-south express line from the airport all the way south through the county to somewhere (can't recall). The plan leveraged the existing old RR tracks part or all the way. THAT made sense.
In a county with our size and smarts, it is inexcusable to not have an efficient and effective public transportation system. A core N-S express with regular lines running E-W and around can make SCAT far more timely and efficient for regular or occasional riders. The plan reported here, with a N-S express route that ends at the hospital, is designed to fail as a plan.
What is the Who, Why, When, What and Where and How of this change? No wonder South County is looking to re-balance power!
Business owners, take note -- Because of inefficient and ineffective public transportation, my car repair (a normal sort of personal time and logistics issue) my employer took a productivity, profitability and predictability hit. You can translate and multiply my single example by any number of employee and customer situations.
Case: When my car was recently being repaired, I looked into taking SCAT from my home in downtown Sarasota to work near the airport. My trip required two buses (fine, within expectations) and 90+ minutes of travel time (not at all fine). In the end, SCAT was not an option because bus service on my return trip ended at 7-something PM, and my work day ends 9 PM.
- Yeah! Wake up Sarasota is right: WAKE UP to the fact that the Feds don't have any money... WAKE UP to the fact that that ANY Federal dollars have an multitude of strings attached. WAKE UP to the insidious reality of the UN's Agenda 21 and ICLEI... WAKE UP to the fact tat the illustration'photo used doesn't heva ANY personal vehicles at all. Just bicycles and busses. WAKE UP to the fact that the whole CO2 scare is bogus, nothing more than a way to tax the air and an envirofascist's dream come true.... WAKE UP to more and more Federal government control over everything we do.
'Wake up Sarasota'!!!.
- How could you be against Rapid Transit System ? It's a great alternative to cars which pollutes our atmosphere, for elderly it is much safer, for anybody it would be cost effective. Wake up Sarasota ! We are in 2011 not in the 1900's !
- Well said.
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